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Housing market tighter than ever this century, new-build housing costs more than four hundred thousand

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It is known that there is an extreme shortage on the housing market and this is evident in how quickly a house is sold and how high the demand is for a house. The sales price for new and existing homes increased by 9% compared to last year.

Figures from real estate association NVM show that in the second quarter of 2020 only 7,200 new-build homes and plots were sold, an increase of 8% compared to last year. The sales price of a new owner-occupied home rose to € 401,000.

In contrast to new-build homes, the number of existing homes sold fell by 4% in the second quarter. 52% of the existing homes were sold above the asking price. An average of € 335,000 was paid, which is 9% more than a year ago.

According to data from NVM estate agents, a potential buyer could choose from 2.7 homes. “There is a very tight market. In 2020, the housing market will be tighter than ever before this century. ” According to NVM brokers.

According to them, “substantially” more houses should be built. “This requires strong direction from central government in particular,” says NVM chairman Onno Hoes. “Having your own minister to live in the next cabinet is very important.”

Source: Cobouw

Population forecast: 2 million new homes may be needed by 2050

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The Netherlands is experiencing an unprecedented housing shortage at the moment, and the population continues to grow as a result of aging, migration and individualisation. As a result, households in the Netherlands are likely to grow to 2 million by 2050. (Source: Statistics Netherlands and Nidi)

An extensive report by Statistics Netherlands and Nidi described 7 scenarios, of which only one has a small population decline of 300,000. This can only occur when migration to the Netherlands stops completely, the birth rate falls and life expectancy deteriorates.

In the worst-case scenario, the population will grow to 21.8 million by 2050.
90% of this is due to migration to the Netherlands and an aging population, which means that the number of households is growing strongly.

Nearly 10 million households

It is assumed that the Netherlands will have some 9.1 million households by 2050, which is 1.1 million more than the Netherlands currently has. It is clear that the population will grow in the coming period, according to the report. Two factors play a major role here: migration and aging.

We have experienced a large migration flow in recent years. This will probably increase even further in the coming years and will place extra pressure on the number of households. Migrant workers often form a one-person household. Life expectancy in the Netherlands is also high, causing an aging population. Many elderly people in the Netherlands are living alone, vital elderly people. In the event of population growth, the number of over-70s will grow by a modest 1.4 million by 2050. In this case, today’s housing shortage of 1 million additional homes will not be enough to provide housing for the elderly. Not to mention the migration increase.

So the big question is how the government will solve this. A major housing shortage on top of the current housing shortage will be one of the greatest challenges the Netherlands has ever faced.

Read the extensive analysis here (Vastgoedmarkt.nl)

Source: Vastgoed Markt

“The Netherlands will grow a MILLION people up to 2030,” says Hugo de Jonge

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For years we have seen the Randstad grow and we see that there is already plenty of construction going on everywhere, to solve the housing crisis. New neighborhoods are being built in the big cities, but it doesn’t stop there. The Netherlands is growing very fast and is a very attractive country for many people.

According to CDA minister Hugo de Jonge, the Netherlands will add up to 2030 million people.
This means that every year a city like Amersfoort has 130,000 inhabitants.

The Randstad will have to sacrifice more places, and even that is too little to be able to meet the current housing crisis and the upcoming population growth. “De Jonge wants more houses and less distance between Randstad and non-Randstad.” Cites the Leeuwarder Courant.
So many places outside the Randstad will also have to be sacrificed to solve this problem.

PVV party chairman in Urk Hendrik Wakker says that we will ‘grow tremendously’ in the coming years and that we will therefore add 1 million inhabitants.
Not all of them fit in the Randstad and therefore ’the region’ needs to be adapted.

So in the coming years a lot will be invested in land that is perfect for construction projects and we will hear a lot about it in the coming period, also predicts Robert Jensen.

Video Nieuwsuur: Major housing shortage in the Netherlands

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Just before the Corona crisis, we were in a nitrogen crisis, which hindered housing construction. There is currently a shortage of more than 300,000 homes, which will rise to about 1.5 million in the next 30 years. There is also a shortage of space to realize this.

Tymon De Weger (alderman in Woerden): “We want to build 4,000 homes in Woerden until 2040, some of which are outside the city in the Green Heart.”
Bob Duindam (alderman in Oudewater): “Until 2040, we want to build 650 homes, 450 of which are outside the city limits in the Green Heart.”
Guus Elkhuizen (alderman in Nieuwkoop) “We want to build 1,900 homes until 2030, some of which are outside the villages, but in the Green Heart.”
These are statements by 3 concerned legislators from municipalities in the Green Heart. They want to build outside the municipal boundaries. Gerard van As, alderman of Alphen aan de Rijn, also has the biggest plans to build in the Green Heart. We currently have the Corona crisis and another housing crisis on top. The housing crisis is so great that it is a form of housing shortage, especially in the Randstad that we have never known.
Since housing has been in the hands of municipalities since 2017, CEOs, scientists and civil servants are concerned about spatial planning in the Netherlands.
According to Frans Blom, researcher at Denkwerk, the Groene Hart largely consists of exhausted agricultural land that is no longer useful for farmers. The government must take the lead in developing a spatial vision. We have great challenges ahead of us and we need a national plan. “We are not concerned with growth,” says Bob Duindam. “We only want to give people who were born and raised here in the Netherlands and who work here a place to live.”
Deputy Anne King scrapped Alphen aan de Rijn’s expansion plans and she wants the councilors to solve their housing shortages within the municipal boundaries.
“The province has locked up the Green Heart for housing, but we have really reached the limit.” Says Tymon De Weger. According to Guus Elkhuizen, the municipality is very flexible about placing windmills in the nature reserve, but when it comes to housing construction, the door is locked. Bob Duindam also thinks it all took too long.

Frans Blom thinks that the provincial administrators are losing valuable time. “We are currently short of 350,000 homes, ie they don’t have a home. That number grows to one and a half million. We also have to realize that developing a home takes about 10 years. So if we don’t start now, we still won’t solve the problem within 10 years. It is really time that we start now. ”

Deputy Anne Koning shares the wish of the aldermen and researchers for more central control from The Hague, but she continues to build critically in the green.

Source: Nieuwsuur